5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,958 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,369/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$450/mo
Annual
$5,397/yr
Cap rate
14.01%
Cash-on-cash
27.58%
DSCR
2.23
1% rule
1.96%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $570 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,027 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Mount Morris Central School District (town): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #537 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Livingston County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $70k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JNTYN7AG3J9FKA
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29