3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,229 sqft ·
Built 1953
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,118/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$424
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$445
Net cashflow
$-62/mo
Annual
$-741/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.06%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-741/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (15.3% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $212k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: schools D+.
Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.0% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JPKMFH2Z22GT2V
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29