3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,669 sqft ·
Built 1923
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 178 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,202/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$464/mo
Annual
$5,565/yr
Cap rate
14.25%
Cash-on-cash
28.43%
DSCR
2.27
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#349 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
East Gibson School Corporation (town): math 40% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #171 of 301 in IN (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 167 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gibson County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $95k (58%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JQ2NK6BVJ2X0KB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29