3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,009/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$755
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$-50/mo
Annual
$-595/yr
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.48%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$40,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-595/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (6.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (30.0% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#215 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Malvern School District (town): math 21% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #207 of 238 in AR (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Malvern Elementary School (math 28% / reading 20%, grade F, #359 of 454 statewide, top 79%, 701 students, 77% FRL); Malvern Junior High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #170 of 201 statewide, top 86%, 299 students, 75% FRL); Malvern High School (math 14% / reading 25%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 575 students, 66% FRL).
Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4 units permitted in Hot Spring County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hot Spring County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $13k; list at $144k implies a 1008% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JQFKKK9XENS45D
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29