2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
925 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,117/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$545
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$445
Net cashflow
$79/mo
Annual
$952/yr
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.70%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($952/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#194 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, employment D-.
Pleasantville Public School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #451 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pleasantville Middle School (math 6% / reading 33%, grade F, #398 of 431 statewide, top 93%, 883 students, 85% FRL); Pleasantville High School (math 10% / reading 28%, grade F, #361 of 399 statewide, top 91%, 924 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools at 82% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $200k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.7% in Pleasantville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JQXQ1ZFFG0GVBQ
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29