2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Manufactured
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$998/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$194
Tax + insurance
−$62
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$210
Net cashflow
$533/mo
Annual
$6,392/yr
Cap rate
23.57%
Cash-on-cash
61.70%
DSCR
3.75
1% rule
2.70%
Cash to close
$10,360
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $37k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($998 rent vs $37k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $256 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#102 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Carbon District (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #53 of 80 in UT (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Creekview School (math 54% / reading 47%, grade D+, #156 of 585 statewide, top 27%, 450 students, 42% FRL); Mont Harmon Middle (math 36% / reading 44%, grade F, #72 of 138 statewide, top 53%, 601 students, 45% FRL); Carbon High (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #124 of 171 statewide, top 74%, 1,023 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 196 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Painting
— Siding and porch need touch-up.
Minor: Landscaping
— Some landscaping needs trimming and mulching.
Minor: Flooring
— Carpeted floors could be replaced with hardwood or tile for a more modern look.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JR328HEFV8B2GP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29