2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,094 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 153 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$958/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$28
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$201
Net cashflow
$493/mo
Annual
$5,915/yr
Cap rate
19.44%
Cash-on-cash
46.94%
DSCR
3.09
1% rule
2.13%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($958 rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#434 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Elmore City-Pernell (rural): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #210 of 270 in OK (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Elmore City-Pernell Es (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 224 students, 0% FRL); Elmore City Jhs (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #288 of 345 statewide, top 86%, 107 students, 0% FRL); Elmore City-Pernell Hs (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #145 of 447 statewide, top 33%, 176 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Garvin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Garvin County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JRBXPAE1EQ473W
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29