5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,116 sqft ·
Built 1929
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,557/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,884
Tax + insurance
−$852
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,377
Net cashflow
$1,444/mo
Annual
$17,328/yr
Cap rate
9.44%
Cash-on-cash
11.25%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$154,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $550k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $481/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $550k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($534k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $534k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $58k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $54k appreciation (9.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
New Haven School District (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #147 of 153 in CT (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Edgewood School (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #421 of 553 statewide, top 76%, 401 students, 58% FRL); Betsy Ross Arts Magnet School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #161 of 175 statewide, top 93%, 327 students, 70% FRL); James Hillhouse High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #188 of 194 statewide, top 98%, 1,139 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 45 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $335k; list at $550k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.8% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$93k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.8% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JRDWBH5Y8V0CNT
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29