3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,778 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,679/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,888
Tax + insurance
−$219
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$563
Net cashflow
$9/mo
Annual
$109/yr
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.11%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$100,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($109/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $268k (25.6% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($355k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $268k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#42 in GA, #4,721 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Starling Elementary School (math 53% / reading 50%, grade C-, #238 of 1,228 statewide, top 20%, 1,103 students, 47% FRL); Couch Middle School (math 33% / reading 50%, grade F, #132 of 470 statewide, top 28%, 1,087 students, 49% FRL); Grayson High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 3,284 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Grayson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JRF7ZB94F94WD8
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29