5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,900 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,557/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$262/mo
Annual
$3,149/yr
Cap rate
8.54%
Cash-on-cash
8.03%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $425 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#197 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Cabell County Schools (urban): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #13 of 55 in WV (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Culloden Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #7 of 377 statewide, top 2%, 212 students, 0% FRL); Milton Middle School (math 34% / reading 45%, grade F, #20 of 109 statewide, top 18%, 570 students, 0% FRL); Cabell Midland High School (math 25% / reading 56%, grade F, #19 of 110 statewide, top 17%, 1,757 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 49% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cabell County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in Cabell County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.1% in Milton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— dated and worn
Major: backsplash
— outdated and in poor condition
Major: countertops
— worn and in need of replacement
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— basic and in fair condition
Minor: paint
— some peeling and touch-up needed
CashFlowRE · CFR-JRYMYD87DQEPVB
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29