3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,294 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,091/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$343
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$439
Net cashflow
$-2/mo
Annual
$-24/yr
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.03%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-24/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (0.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (16.3% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $209k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#463 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools D-.
Lincoln Consolidated School District (rural): math 17% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #393 of 540 in MI (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 996 units permitted in Washtenaw County in 2024 (492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washtenaw County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
12 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $215k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29