3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 2024
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,514/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$493
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,788
Net cashflow
$4,748/mo
Annual
$56,981/yr
Cap rate
29.55%
Cash-on-cash
83.06%
DSCR
4.70
1% rule
3.48%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($57k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $245k).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $223k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#651 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Malakoff ISD (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #187 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Malakoff El (math 58% / reading 54%, grade C+, #574 of 4,322 statewide, top 14%, 457 students, 75% FRL); Malakoff Middle (math 48% / reading 54%, grade C, #326 of 1,662 statewide, top 20%, 323 students, 72% FRL); Malakoff H S (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #591 of 1,632 statewide, top 38%, 378 students, 62% FRL).
Market conditions: 607 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 29.6% vs local median 2.7% in Tool — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,514/mo this rent would consume 148% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JS74PYDWTPD0AQ
· Data 3 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29