3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,813 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 271 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,934/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,295
Tax + insurance
−$412
HOA
−$13
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$406
Net cashflow
$-192/mo
Annual
$-2,299/yr
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.33%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$69,132
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $247k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-192 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (11.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (21.7% below list).
It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#304 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Riverton Elementary School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #63 of 627 statewide, top 10%, 581 students, 29% FRL); Buckhorn Middle School (math 19% / reading 59%, grade F, #64 of 257 statewide, top 25%, 688 students, 38% FRL); Buckhorn High School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #59 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,287 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 393 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.1% in New Market — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JT8SG89RT6TV14
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29