3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,088 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 217 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,060/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$330
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$223
Net cashflow
$426/mo
Annual
$5,118/yr
Cap rate
14.43%
Cash-on-cash
29.06%
DSCR
2.29
1% rule
1.68%
Cash to close
$17,612
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($435 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#338 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
South Panola School District (town): math 31% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #65 of 130 in MS (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pope Elementary School (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #168 of 375 statewide, top 45%, 531 students, 99% FRL); Batesville Junior High School (math 29% / reading 28%, grade F, #94 of 179 statewide, top 53%, 825 students, 100% FRL); South Panola High School (math 25% / reading 27%, grade F, #108 of 197 statewide, top 55%, 1,174 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 72% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Panola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Panola County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (9.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JTDXGW3CSZ92GM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29