2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
952 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,781/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$649
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$374
Net cashflow
$482/mo
Annual
$5,779/yr
Cap rate
20.74%
Cash-on-cash
51.60%
DSCR
3.30
1% rule
4.45%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Heath City (suburban): math 62% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #226 of 656 in OH (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Stevenson Elementary School (math 69% / reading 67%, grade B+, #439 of 1,584 statewide, top 28%, 401 students, 40% FRL); Heath Middle School (math 63% / reading 64%, grade B+, #228 of 654 statewide, top 35%, 398 students, 39% FRL); Heath High School (math 42% / reading 77%, grade C+, #243 of 781 statewide, top 33%, 480 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 2.8% in Heath — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Appears dated and could benefit from updating.
Moderate: Bathtub
— Looks dated and could benefit from updating.
Minor: Countertops
— Could be updated for a fresh look.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JV6R08E6S2YB24
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29