4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,564 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,339/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$519
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$491
Net cashflow
$-113/mo
Annual
$-1,361/yr
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.77%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$76,986
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-113 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (7.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (14.9% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $234k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#387 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
Berne-Knox-Westerlo Central School District (rural): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #275 of 590 in NY (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.1% in Altamont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JVKP0FBMFE59VZ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29