4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,596 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,811/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$85/mo
Annual
$1,020/yr
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.58%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$64,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (21.2% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $181k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#292 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Jefferson Schools (Monroe) (rural): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #358 of 540 in MI (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $155k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JVPDP47F22STE4
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29