3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,378 sqft ·
Built 2010
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 82 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,874/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,274
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$17
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$394
Net cashflow
$6/mo
Annual
$70/yr
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.10%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$68,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $243k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($70/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (22.9% below list).
It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#121 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Deerfield Elementary (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #209 of 597 statewide, top 36%, 803 students, 32% FRL); Carolina Springs Middle (math 25% / reading 39%, grade F, #119 of 229 statewide, top 54%, 914 students, 46% FRL); White Knoll High (math 47% / reading 85%, grade B, #81 of 196 statewide, top 42%, 2,204 students, 45% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 572 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $165k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29