0 bd · 1.0 ba ·
735 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,011/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$478
HOA
−$1,383
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$632
Net cashflow
$-793/mo
Annual
$-9,521/yr
Cap rate
2.80%
Cash-on-cash
-12.46%
DSCR
0.45
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a ?-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-793 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $110k (56.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (56.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Zoned schools: King William Lunalilo Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #108 of 183 statewide, top 61%, 260 students, 64% FRL); President George Washington Middle School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #17 of 42 statewide, top 39%, 569 students, 61% FRL); Kaimuki High School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #35 of 43 statewide, top 86%, 620 students, 60% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 46% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $250k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.8% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,011/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 2466% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 56% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29