2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Manufactured
· Active
· 304 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,732/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$52
Tax + insurance
−$17
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$364
Net cashflow
$1,299/mo
Annual
$15,587/yr
Cap rate
162.16%
Cash-on-cash
556.68%
DSCR
25.77
1% rule
17.32%
Cash to close
$2,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $10k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $10k).
It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $9k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#11 in UT, #457 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Crestview School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #454 of 585 statewide, top 79%, 362 students, 51% FRL); Central Davis Jr High (math 43% / reading 42%, grade D-, #56 of 138 statewide, top 41%, 1,009 students, 29% FRL); Layton High (math 27% / reading 46%, grade F, #86 of 171 statewide, top 52%, 2,242 students, 16% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JWBVFD7VYVS3BR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29