4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,662 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,542/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,652
Tax + insurance
−$419
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$534
Net cashflow
$-62/mo
Annual
$-748/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.85%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$88,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-748/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $304k (3.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (19.3% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $254k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in MO, #3,695 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Park Hill (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #26 of 324 in MO (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Graden Elem. (math 56% / reading 64%, grade B-, #120 of 1,115 statewide, top 11%, 475 students, 22% FRL); Plaza Middle (math 37% / reading 51%, grade D, #121 of 391 statewide, top 32%, 715 students, 30% FRL); Park Hill South High (math 67% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 521 statewide, top 2%, 1,860 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 26% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 234 units permitted in Platte County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Platte County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 77% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 1.7% in Parkville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JX5PQD4S917BTW
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29