3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,138 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,365/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$287
Net cashflow
$770/mo
Annual
$9,245/yr
Cap rate
29.46%
Cash-on-cash
82.76%
DSCR
4.68
1% rule
3.42%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $770 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#832 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
Madison-Plains Local (rural): math 62% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #232 of 656 in OH (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 530 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (120 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JXPRY61152VE1E
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29