3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,188 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Manufactured
· Active
· 324 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,588/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,757
Tax + insurance
−$302
HOA
−$106
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$753
Net cashflow
$670/mo
Annual
$8,038/yr
Cap rate
8.69%
Cash-on-cash
8.57%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$93,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $335k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $670 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $335k).
It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $295k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $451 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-2k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#344 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment B+, housing B+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Poudre High School (math 36% / reading 59%, grade D, #131 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 1,663 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $94k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.1% in Red Feather Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JXRPYHC2X0T5ZM
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29