3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Manufactured
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,497/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$917
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$10
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$128/mo
Annual
$1,533/yr
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.13%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$48,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (14.4% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#375 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Troy R-III (town): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #97 of 324 in MO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cuivre Park Elementary (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #537 of 1,115 statewide, top 53%, 623 students, 37% FRL); Troy Buchanan High (math 40% / reading 58%, grade D, #145 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 2,188 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 149 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.6% in Moscow Mills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JXSYCRC7H0T5WK
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29