3 bd · 5.0 ba ·
1,634 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Condo
· Pending
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,376/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$476
HOA
−$185
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$499
Net cashflow
$-200/mo
Annual
$-2,397/yr
Cap rate
5.41%
Cash-on-cash
-3.17%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/5.0-bath condo listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-200 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (13.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (12.0% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $235k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#220 in IA, #4,085 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Clear Creek Amana Community School District (rural): math 73% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #72 of 289 in IA (top 25%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 714 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (158 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.2% in Tiffin — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-JY010S82BZV5MJ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29