3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,092 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,054/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,563
Tax + insurance
−$594
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$641
Net cashflow
$255/mo
Annual
$3,064/yr
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.67%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$83,440
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $298k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $298k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($289k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $289k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#159 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Rockledge Elementary (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #538 of 860 statewide, top 64%, 341 students, 58% FRL); Samuel Ogle Middle (math 9% / reading 40%, grade F, #108 of 225 statewide, top 50%, 795 students, 49% FRL); Bowie High (math 31% / reading 73%, grade D+, #100 of 222 statewide, top 47%, 2,460 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 16% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Prince George'S County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.0% in Bowie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JY6XGJ19YJGNJM
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29