3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,540 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 132 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,997/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,415
Tax + insurance
−$171
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$419
Net cashflow
$-8/mo
Annual
$-100/yr
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.13%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$75,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-100/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $268k (0.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (26.0% below list).
It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#198 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
York 03 (urban): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #32 of 80 in SC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lesslie Elementary (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #209 of 597 statewide, top 36%, 488 students, 32% FRL); Castle Heights Middle (math 30% / reading 33%, grade F, #124 of 229 statewide, top 55%, 738 students, 100% FRL); Rock Hill High (math 57% / reading 81%, grade B, #65 of 196 statewide, top 34%, 1,945 students, 55% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Lesslie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29