3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,635 sqft ·
Built —
· Townhouse
· Active
· 246 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,475/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,599
Tax + insurance
−$508
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$520
Net cashflow
$-152/mo
Annual
$-1,822/yr
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.13%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$85,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $300k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-152 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $283k (5.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (17.5% below list).
It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $248k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in OH, #2,752 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Goshen Local (rural): math 66% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #193 of 656 in OH (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Marr/Cook Elementary School (666 students, 35% FRL); Goshen Middle School (math 59% / reading 62%, grade B+, #259 of 654 statewide, top 40%, 688 students, 46% FRL); Goshen High School (math 62% / reading 68%, grade B, #163 of 781 statewide, top 21%, 847 students, 43% FRL).
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 996 units permitted in Clermont County in 2024 (210 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.8% in Mount Repose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JZB15K1PXZ662N
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29