3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,188 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 123 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,125/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$-16/mo
Annual
$-198/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.49%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-198/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (2.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (22.4% below list).
It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (9.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#398 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Arcadia Valley R-II (rural): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #115 of 324 in MO (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Iron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Iron County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (9.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JZCZKPARBTWWBV
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29