4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,824 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,757/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$489
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$579
Net cashflow
$116/mo
Annual
$1,388/yr
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.65%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (8.1% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $276k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#443 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Walton Central School District (town): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #510 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Townsend Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 367 students, 47% FRL); Walton Middle School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #550 of 729 statewide, top 77%, 189 students, 54% FRL); Walton High School (math 84% / reading 90%, grade A, #308 of 1,100 statewide, top 28%, 283 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JZM7BK8JRWTQ84
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29