1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
660 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,313/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$623
Tax + insurance
−$179
HOA
−$300
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$276
Net cashflow
$-66/mo
Annual
$-786/yr
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.36%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$33,275
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-786/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (9.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $107k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $821 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#58 in MN, #1,382 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities A-.
Hopkins Public School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #75 of 301 in MN (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Gatewood Elementary (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #604 of 857 statewide, top 74%, 413 students, 65% FRL); Hopkins West Junior High (math 62% / reading 72%, grade A-, #11 of 258 statewide, top 5%, 592 students, 47% FRL); Hopkins Senior High (math 52% / reading 63%, grade C, #59 of 471 statewide, top 13%, 1,491 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 29% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.2% in Hopkins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JZYF20BQW428S0
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29