4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Other
· Pending
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,242/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$500
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$471
Net cashflow
$891/mo
Annual
$10,692/yr
Cap rate
25.73%
Cash-on-cash
69.43%
DSCR
4.09
1% rule
4.08%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $891 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#37 in MI, #733 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute C-.
Holt Public Schools (suburban): math 28% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #236 of 540 in MI (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 25.7% vs local median 3.6% in Holt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K02VD86Z5Q1SVM
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29