4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 176 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,184/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$107
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$-37/mo
Annual
$-441/yr
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.96%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-441/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (3.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (28.3% below list).
It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#509 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
Wythe County Public School District (rural): math 67% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 131 in VA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Wythe County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wythe County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
6 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $86k; list at $165k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 53 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29