2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
725 sqft ·
Built 1994
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,169/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,054
Tax + insurance
−$378
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$455
Net cashflow
$281/mo
Annual
$3,374/yr
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
6.00%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$56,272
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $201k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $201k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $195k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pequannock Township School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #129 of 472 in NJ (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 3% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 2,357 units permitted in Morris County in 2024 (1,496 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morris County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $136k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K0ZX8TCG81S1H1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29