3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 2016
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,273/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$267
Net cashflow
$106/mo
Annual
$1,275/yr
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.25%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (9.0% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Brookland School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #47 of 238 in AR (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Brookland Middle School (math 56% / reading 35%, grade D-, #135 of 454 statewide, top 30%, 878 students, 31% FRL); Brookland Junior High School (math 36% / reading 46%, grade F, #83 of 201 statewide, top 44%, 718 students, 26% FRL); Brookland High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #142 of 292 statewide, top 53%, 589 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.1% in Brookland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K25CXYE0PJJSSH
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29