3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,215 sqft ·
Built 2018
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,068/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,584
Tax + insurance
−$284
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$434
Net cashflow
$-234/mo
Annual
$-2,812/yr
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.33%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$84,560
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $302k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-234 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (13.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (31.5% below list).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($284k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (31.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
York 01 (rural): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #41 of 80 in SC (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Harold C. Johnson Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #421 of 597 statewide, top 73%, 409 students, 100% FRL); York Comprehensive High (math 39% / reading 82%, grade C+, #108 of 196 statewide, top 55%, 1,493 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 54% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 546 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K2784Y8C8W48H1
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29