8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
4,532 sqft ·
Built 1912
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 131 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,952/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,765
Tax + insurance
−$1,117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,090
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-239/yr
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.07%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$361,200
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.29M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-239/yr) — negative. Per door: $-7/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.29M (0.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $995k (22.9% below list).
It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.14M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $995k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $39k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Magnolia Avenue Elementary (550 students, 100% FRL); Berendo Middle (623 students, 98% FRL); West Adams Preparatory High (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #826 of 1,170 statewide, top 80%, 1,080 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 67% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Los Angeles Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $145k; list at $1.29M implies a 790% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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