3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,448 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 190 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,125/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$290/mo
Annual
$3,477/yr
Cap rate
10.95%
Cash-on-cash
16.63%
DSCR
1.74
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $818 appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#458 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Tazewell County Public School District (town): math 67% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #21 of 131 in VA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tazewell County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.7% in Tazewell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29