3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,347 sqft ·
Built 2013
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,764/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,117
Tax + insurance
−$551
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$370
Net cashflow
$-275/mo
Annual
$-3,297/yr
Cap rate
4.75%
Cash-on-cash
-5.53%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$59,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $213k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-275 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (22.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (17.2% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in TX, #3,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, crime D+, employment D+.
Academy ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #309 of 826 in TX (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Academy El (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 704 students, 44% FRL); Academy J H (math 46% / reading 47%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 419 students, 46% FRL); Academy H S (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #963 of 1,632 statewide, top 61%, 530 students, 34% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 1126 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.6% in Temple — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K2X86Q14W3QM8B
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29