3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,610/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$280
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$338
Net cashflow
$126/mo
Annual
$1,515/yr
Cap rate
7.21%
Cash-on-cash
3.28%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (2.4% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $161k (2.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#39 in ME, #4,030 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D, schools F, amenities F.
RSU 10 (rural): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #107 of 112 in ME (top 96%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 329 units permitted in Oxford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oxford County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $165k implies a 965% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.1% in Rumford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K3J5MJ4K7B7P77
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29