3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,352 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,813/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$64
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$381
Net cashflow
$818/mo
Annual
$9,811/yr
Cap rate
15.64%
Cash-on-cash
33.37%
DSCR
2.48
1% rule
1.73%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Solanco SD (rural): math 31% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #272 of 539 in PA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K3MB3B1QQMF062
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29