2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Manufactured
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,269/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$367
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$476
Net cashflow
$272/mo
Annual
$3,262/yr
Cap rate
7.78%
Cash-on-cash
5.30%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $213k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#304 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, cost of living F.
Vallejo City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #1,124 of 1,400 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.1% in Vallejo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K3VJTCDK36R38T
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29