1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
828 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 120 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$965/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$207
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$203
Net cashflow
$489/mo
Annual
$5,868/yr
Cap rate
21.15%
Cash-on-cash
53.06%
DSCR
3.36
1% rule
2.44%
Cash to close
$11,060
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $489 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($965 rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($273 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#505 in PA, #4,612 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
Dubois Area SD (town): math 38% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #262 of 539 in PA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Clearfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clearfield County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— standard fixtures
Minor: exterior siding
— gray siding
Minor: interior walls
— wallpaper
Minor: landscaping
— simple landscaping
CashFlowRE · CFR-K42DDM4DNTA141
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29