3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,061 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Manufactured
· Active
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,129/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$447
Net cashflow
$854/mo
Annual
$10,244/yr
Cap rate
14.84%
Cash-on-cash
30.51%
DSCR
2.36
1% rule
1.78%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $854 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#469 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Kingston City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #355 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 3.6% in Port Ewen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible signs of wear and tear.
Moderate: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear visible.
Unknown: HVAC compressor
— The condition of the HVAC compressor is unknown, as it is not visible in the photos.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K4DG76AFT54KJ6
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29