2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
643 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Active
· 113 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,779/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$533
HOA
−$720
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$583
Net cashflow
$-526/mo
Annual
$-6,317/yr
Cap rate
4.32%
Cash-on-cash
-7.04%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$78,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $280k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-526 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (27.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (0.8% below list).
It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $204k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Kalihi Waena Elementary School (math 14% / reading 28%, grade F, #157 of 183 statewide, top 87%, 465 students, 64% FRL); Governor Sanford B Dole Middle School (math 8% / reading 24%, grade F, #41 of 42 statewide, top 98%, 530 students, 78% FRL); Governor Wallace Rider Farrington High School (math 17% / reading 57%, grade F, #29 of 43 statewide, top 67%, 2,238 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 39% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hawaii Department Of Education average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K4T5QP9SMVPNRW
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29