20 bd · 16.0 ba ·
488 sqft ·
Built 1938
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,573/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,113
Tax + insurance
−$1,116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,590
Net cashflow
$-246/mo
Annual
$-2,952/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.08%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$273,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $975k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-246 ($-3k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-61/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $932k (4.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $757k (22.3% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($946k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $757k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#676 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, cost of living F.
Pomona Unified (suburban): math 12% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #444 of 517 in CA (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lopez Elementary (441 students, 98% FRL); Ganesha High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #618 of 1,170 statewide, top 56%, 936 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 73% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Pomona Unified average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $600k; list at $975k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.7% in Pomona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29