3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,098 sqft ·
Built 1880
· Other
· Active
· 141 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$362
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$214
Net cashflow
$336/mo
Annual
$4,028/yr
Cap rate
12.13%
Cash-on-cash
20.85%
DSCR
1.93
1% rule
1.48%
Cash to close
$19,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $69k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#182 in NY, #2,828 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Ticonderoga Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #459 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $69k implies a 176% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 2.2% in Ticonderoga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K5DXDS5TGA3ERY
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29