2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,150 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Condo
· Active
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,070/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,935
Tax + insurance
−$1,042
HOA
−$1,087
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$855
Net cashflow
$-849/mo
Annual
$-10,183/yr
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.90%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$103,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $369k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-849 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (33.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $369k).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (33.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 27% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,070/mo this rent would consume 112% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 4426% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K6FEZ111D82CTH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29