3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,312 sqft ·
Built 1983
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,073/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$175
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$435
Net cashflow
$807/mo
Annual
$9,681/yr
Cap rate
14.04%
Cash-on-cash
27.66%
DSCR
2.23
1% rule
1.66%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $807 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#395 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, employment B+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
Washingtion County Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #13 of 24 in MD (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $61k; list at $125k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K6RQ1H3RSTAB7Z
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29