2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,470/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$985
Tax + insurance
−$313
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$-137/mo
Annual
$-1,640/yr
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.12%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$52,577
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#167 in NY, #2,597 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Schenectady City School District (urban): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #556 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Schenectady High School (math 75% / reading 90%, grade A, #446 of 1,100 statewide, top 41%, 2,743 students, 71% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 82% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+46 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Schenectady City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 14.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 154 units permitted in Schenectady County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schenectady County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-K6VS37A7DJ8P0V
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29